Harvest Volatility Management 2021 Outlook

By: Garrett Paolella in Macro Commentary January 21, 2021

Harvest Volatility Management 2021 Outlook: Asset Allocation and Total Return Essential to Portfolio Construction and Mitigating Risk


NEW YORKJan. 21, 2021 /PRNewswire/ — Harvest Volatility Management, (“Harvest”), a leader in options-based yield enhancement strategies, risk reduction, alternative beta and absolute return investment strategies for institutional, family office and high-net-worth investors, is today sharing its outlook on what the New Year is likely to bring for investors. Chief among the firm’s views for 2021 is that asset allocation and a total return focus to portfolio construction – carefully balancing risk and yield across asset classes – as well as the utilization of alternative strategies that incorporate options and derivatives will be essential to successfully navigating the markets and generating outperformance in 2021.

According to Harvest’s Chief Operating Officer Garrett Paolella, with the Federal Reserve continuing to keep rates low and adding stimulus to the market, investors can expect returns from fixed income in 2021 to once again be challenging at best, making a strategic asset allocation framework focused on total return while finding alternative ways to generate yield key.

“With rates expected to remain low and the passage of the new Covid relief stimulus bill, the capital risk in bonds will be far higher than in equities for the first time in memory, making the traditional 60/40 stock/bond portfolio mix not a viable option for investors seeking yield,” said Paolella. “With many investors all chasing the same equity market returns, where can people turn to seek out opportunities for alpha and better risk adjusted returns? This makes the need for proper asset allocation approaches that utilize alternative strategies while carefully balancing risk vs yield all the more acute.”

In an environment like this, investors may want to seek out alternative sources for generating yield or managing market volatility through the use of options and via access to managers with global macro expertise across a number of asset classes. Equities will be extremely important in efforts to generate both yield and returns, so manager experience and expertise will be essential.

“2020 showed the value of a differentiated, actively managed approach to navigating market volatility and uncertainty,” continued Paolella. “2021 appears likely to see a continuation of that trend but with total return risk a much more important point of emphasis, and well-constructed strategies designed to enhance yield and reduce asset class risk exposures are likely to play an ever more important role in investors’ portfolios.”

Paolella and his colleagues write regularly about their views on the markets, portfolio construction, and more, and can be followed here: https://hvm.com/research/.

About Harvest Volatility Management
Founded in 2008, Harvest Volatility Management (Harvest), is one of the world’s leading derivative asset management firms with approximately $3.6 billion in assets under management as of August 2020.

With an expert team of investment professionals with many decades of combined experience managing volatility and option related strategies, Harvest provides its client base of institutional, family office and high-net-worth investors a suite of yield enhancement strategies, risk reduction strategies, alternative beta strategies and absolute return investment strategies that seek to enhance yield and reduce asset class risk exposures for clients.


This general market commentary should not be the basis of an investment decision and does not constitute an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The views and opinions expressed constitute the author(s) judgment based on current market conditions, are subject to change without notice, and may differ from those expressed by other areas or employees of Harvest Volatility Management LLC (“Harvest”). Any securities or indices referenced are shown for illustrative purposes only, and are not intended as a recommendation or endorsement by Harvest or by the author(s). In calculating assets under management for Harvest’s overlay strategies, Harvest utilizes notional valuations and mandate sizes instead of market values. This document may contain expressions of opinion, which are subjective and may be unsubstantiated, and should not be relied upon in making an investment decision or for any other purpose.

Privacy Notice
Download our ADV
Download our Form CRS Relationship Summary (ADV Part 3)

Disclaimer and Other Important Information:

Not an offer and confidential: This site and the information in it is provided for your internal use only. The information contained herein is proprietary and confidential to Harvest Volatility Management LLC (the “Adviser”) and may not be disclosed to third parties or duplicated or used for any purpose other than the purpose for which it has been provided. The information presented herein may contain expressions of opinion, which are subjective, may be difficult to prove, and are subject to change without notice. Additionally, although the information provided herein has been obtained from sources which the Adviser believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and such information may be incomplete or condensed. The information is subject to change without notice. This communication is for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security or of any fund or account (a “Fund”) the Adviser manages or offers. Since we furnish all information as part of a general information service and without regard to your particular circumstances, the Adviser shall not be liable for any damages arising out of any inaccuracy in the information.

This site and the information contained in it should not be the basis of an investment decision. An Investment decision should be based on your customary and thorough due diligence procedures, which should include, but not be limited to, a thorough review of all relevant term sheets and other offering documents as well as consolation with legal, tax and regulatory experts. Any person subscribing for an investment must be able to bear the risks involved and must meet the particular Fund’s suitability requirements. Some or all alternative investment programs may not be suitable for certain investors. No assurance can be given that any Fund will meet its investment objectives or avoid losses. A discussion of some, but not all, of the risks associated with investing in the Fund can be found in the Fund’s investment advisory agreement, private placement memoranda, subscription agreement, limited partnership agreement, articles of association or other offering documents as applicable (collectively the “Offering Documents”), among those risks, which we wish to call to your attention, are the following:

Future looking statements, Performance Data and strategy level performance reporting: The information in this site is NOT intended to contain or express exposure recommendations, guidelines or limits applicable to a Fund. The information in this report does not disclose or contemplate the hedging or exit strategies of the Fund. While investors should understand and consider risks associated with position concentrations when making an investment decision, this report is not intended to aid an investor in evaluating such risk. The terms set forth in the Offering Documents are controlling in all respects should they conflict with any other term set forth in other marketing materials, and therefore, the Offering Documents must be reviewed carefully before making an investment and periodically while an investment is maintained. Statements made herein include forward-looking statements. These statements, including those relating to future financial expectations, involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. Unless otherwise indicated, Performance Data is presented unaudited, “net” of management fees and other expenses, and net of performance allocations. Returns presented may reflect the reinvestment of dividends and other earnings. Due to the format of data available for the time periods indicated, both gross and net returns are difficult to calculate precisely. Accordingly, the calculations have been made based on in some cases limited available data and a number of assumptions. Because of these limitations, the performance information should not be relied upon as a precise reporting of gross or net performance, but rather merely a general indication of past performance.

The performance information presented herein may have been generated during a period of extraordinary market volatility or relative stability in a particular sector. Accordingly, the performance is not necessarily indicative of results that the Fund may achieve in the future. In addition, the foregoing results may be based or shown on an annual basis, but results for individual months or quarters within each year may have been more favorable or less favorable than the results for the entire period, as the case may be. If index information is included, it is merely to show the general trend in the markets in the periods indicated and is not intended to imply that the portfolio was similar to the indices in either composition or element of risk. This report may indicate that it contains hypothetical or actual performance of specific strategies employed by the Adviser, such strategies may comprise only a portion of any specific Fund’s portfolio, and, therefore, the reported strategy level performance may not correspond to the performance of any Fund for the reported time period. Please note that the Adviser calculates its assets under management with respect to its overlay strategies based on notional valuations and mandate sizes rather than market valuations.

Investment Risks: Investing in a Fund is speculative and involves varying degrees of risk, including substantial degrees of risk in some cases. A Fund may be leveraged and may engage in other speculative investment practices that may increase the risk of investment loss. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance, and a Fund’s performance may be volatile. The use of a single advisor could mean lack of diversification and, consequently, higher risk. A Fund may have varying liquidity provisions and limitations. There is no secondary market for investors’ interests in a Fund and none is expected to develop.

Not Legal, Accounting or Regulatory Advice: This material is not intended to represent the rendering of accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. A change in the facts or circumstances of any transaction could materially affect the accounting, tax, legal or regulatory treatment for that transaction. The ultimate responsibility for the decision on the appropriate application of accounting, tax, legal and regulatory treatment rests with the investor and his or her accountants, tax and regulatory counsel. Potential investors should consult, and must rely on their own professional tax, legal and investment advisors as to matters concerning a Fund and their investments in a Fund. Prospective investors should inform themselves as to: (1) the legal requirements within their own jurisdictions for the purchase, holding or disposal of investments; (2) and applicable foreign exchange restrictions; and (3) any income and other taxes which may apply to their purchase, holding and disposal of investments or payments in respect of the investments of the Fund.

Terms of Use: The information contained on this site is proprietary information belonging to Harvest Volatility Management LLC (“Harvest”). This information may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, without the written express consent of Harvest. The information at this site is protected under the applicable copyright laws in the US and other countries. Unauthorized retransmission, redistribution or other reproduction or modification of information contained in this site is prohibited and may be a violation of laws, including trademark or copyright laws and could subject the user to legal action.

This is not a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell interest in our funds, such offers will be made only by distribution of a private placement memorandum and only in compliance with applicable law.

1Please note that the Adviser calculates its assets under management with respect to its overlay strategies based on notional valuations and mandate sizes rather than market valuations. AUM is as of 9/30/2022.

Follow Us